Is Arsenal’s Victory Against Liverpool a Watershed Moment in their Season?
English Premier League side Arsenal recently had a massive win against rivals and league leaders Liverpool, beating them 3-1 at home (at the Emirates Stadium) on Sunday, 4 February.
Is Arsenal’s win against Liverpool a watershed moment in their season? Let’s dive straight in to find out.
How important was Arsenal’s win over Liverpool?
Arsenal’s win against Liverpool was extremely significant because it brought them to just two points behind Liverpool, who are currently at the top of the league with 51 points.
They are level on points with Manchester City (49), but City are in second place because they have a slightly better goal difference (+4) and one game in hand over Arsenal. The victory could very well be a turning point in how the season ends.
Saka opened the scoring in the 14th minute, and the scoreline was evened when Gabriel Maghalaes scored an own goal in the 45+3rd minute just before the half-time whistle was blown.
Gabriel Martinelli put Arsenal 2-1 up in the 67th minute, and then in the 88th minute, Liverpool’s Ibrahima Konate saw red and was sent off.
It was his second yellow card for two separate fouls on Arsenal’s Kai Havertz. Leandro Trossard added a third goal in the 90+2nd minute, and the final score was 3-1 to Arsenal.
The victory against Liverpool has blown the title challenge wide open, and it means that Arsenal now have a good chance of winning the 2023/24 EPL campaign outright and the UEFA Champions League.
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Can Arsenal win the EPL or Champions League?
To find out if Arsenal can win either, the best thing to do would be to look at the latest odds and compare them with the other odds-on favourite teams for both competitions.
Let’s start by taking a quick look at the current EPL outright winner odds, which are subject to change at any time, for Arsenal to win the English Premier League and compare them with Liverpool and Manchester City’s odds:
- Team: Manchester City (odds-on favourite to win the 2023/24 Premier League outright). Fractional odds: 3/5 (which is 1.60 decimal odds and -167 American/moneyline odds. IPR: implied probability rate): 62.50%
- Team: Liverpool (second odds-on favourites). Fractional odds: 9/4 (which is 3.25 decimal odds and +225 American/moneyline odds. IPR: 30.80%
- Team: Arsenal (third odds-on favourites). Fractional odds: 13/2 (which is 7.50 decimal odds and +650 American/moneyline odds. IPR: 13.30%
Now let’s compare Arsenal’s odds to win the Champions League with some of the other favourites:
- Team: Manchester City (odds-on favourite). Fractional odds: 37/20 (which is 2.85 decimal odds and -185 American/moneyline odds. IPR: 35.10%
- Team: Bayern Munich. Fractional odds: 4/1 (which is 5.00 decimal odds and +400 American/moneyline odds. IPR: 20.00%
- Team: Real Madrid. Fractional odds: 11/2 (which is 6.50 decimal odds and +550 American/moneyline odds. IPR: 15.40%
- Team: Arsenal. Fractional odds: 6/1 (which is 7.00 decimal odds and +600 American/moneyline odds. IPR: 14.30%
As you can see from these odds, Arsenal now have a much better chance of winning the EPL, and the odds have gone more in their favour since this crucial win against Liverpool.
Upcoming fixtures
Arsenal’s next league game is away to West Ham on Sunday, 11 February, and then on Saturday 17, they travel away to play Burnley. Their next UEFA Champions League match is against Porto away on Wednesday, 21 February in the first of two legs in what is known as the round of 16.